OSCAR PREDICTIONS


Today is Oscar Sunday, my Super Bowl. I am spending all day in front of the TV, absorbing the ridiculous ‘pre-game’ coverage until show time.   

 

Here are my official predictions for some of the major categories; those who will win, those who deserve to win, those who were snubbed and a few potential spoilers.

 

ACTOR – LEADING

Will win: Philip Seymour Hoffman

Should win: Heath Ledger

Should have been nominated: Jeff Daniels (The Squid and the Whale), Viggo Mortensen (A History of Violence)

 

ACTOR – SUPPORTING (the toughest category by far)

Will win: Paul Giamatti

Should win: George Clooney

Spoiler: Matt Dillon

 

ACTRESS – LEADING

Will win: Reese Witherspoon

Should win: Felicity Huffman

Should have been nominated: Maria Bello (A History of Violence), Laura Linney (The Squid and the Whale)

 

ACTRESS – SUPPORTING

Will win: Rachel Weisz

Should win: Michelle Williams

Spoiler: Amy Adams

 

ANIMATED FEATURE

Will win: Wallace & Gromit in the Curse of the Were-Rabbit

Should win: Tim Burton’s Corpse Bride

 

ART DIRECTION

Will win: Memoirs of a Geisha

Should win: Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

 

BEST PICTURE

Will win: Brokeback Mountain

Should win: Brokeback Mountain

Spoiler: Crash

 

CINEMATOGRAPHY

Will win: Brokeback Mountain

Should win: Brokeback Mountain

Spoiler: Good Night, and Good Luck

 

DIRECTING

Will win: Brokeback Mountain (Ang Lee)

Should win: Brokeback Mountain (Ang Lee)

Spoilers: Munich (Spielberg), Good Night, and Good Luck (Clooney)

Should have been nominated: David Cronenberg (A History of Violence)
 

FILM EDITING

Will win: Crash

Should win: Walk the Line

 

MAKEUP

Will win: Star Wars: Episode III

Should win: Star Wars: Episode III

 

ORIGINAL SCORE

Will win: Brokeback Mountain

Should win: Brokeback Mountain

 

ORIGINAL SONG

Will win: Travelin’ Thru (Transamerica)

Should win: Travelin’ Thru (Transamerica)

 

SCREENPLAY – ADAPTED

Will win: Brokeback Mountain

Should win: Brokeback Mountain

Spoiler: Capote

 

SCREENPLAY – ORIGINAL

Will win: Crash

Should win: The Squid and the Whale

Spoiler: Match Point

 

SOUND MIXING

Will win: King Kong

Should win: Walk the Line

 

VISUAL EFFECTS

Will win: King Kong

Should win: War of the World


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